It comes as no surprise that blog-boosters like our very own contributing editor Michael Bassik rally around anything supporting the significance of blogs in political campaigns, local and otherwise -- but some technophiles reluctantly disagree. Take Chris Shipley of DemoLetter who writes in a commentary entitled Low-tech good for local politics that yard signs, bumper stickers, and good ol' fashioned over-the-backyard-fence discussions are still the real driving force behind local politics.
I know that's the case where I live in Jersey City. Our recent mayoral race featured a long list of city council hopefuls in my ward, only one with a website (and that could have easily passed for a starter site, circa '98). Sure, political junkies may visit local blogs, which may in turn influence local newspaper and TV coverage. (Heck, the newly revamped Jersey Journal features posts from popular local blogs and forums in its Saturday print edition.) But just whether or not blog chatter can really affect decisions and voter turnout is a different story.
After all, the people frequenting blogs (especially local political ones) tend to have their allegiances set in stone. The folks who have yet to make up their minds and aren't even sure whether or not they'll vote are far less likely to be aware of blawg tawk even if it trickles up/over/down/or across to other media. Those people -- often in the majority -- will be far more susceptible to lawn signs (or in Jersey City's case, bodega and stoop signs), last-minute direct mail (which in these parts tends to get unbelievably defamatory), or in-person chats with a door-knocking candidate or supporter, rather than a blog post which in many cases is accessible on a contraption they have yet to spend much time with.
I'm not disputing that blogs can be powerful in some cases when dealing with certain constituencies, and I do believe that even local candidates can benefit from blogging (or, at the very least, having a campaign site). But the blog is a mere cog in a massive political machine -- one that, especially when it comes to local politics -- is very difficult to maneuver without greasing the same old parts (and palms). OK -- lame metaphor, but you catch my drift.
yard signs? yard signs?!
OK, we can argue about the efficacy of blogs, but yard signs?
Every political professional knows that yard signs are basically wortheless. We do them because it keeps the volunteers (who think they are all that matter) from getting cranky.
Here's your basic test. Right now, stop and write down the names of the last three real estate agents you saw signs or bus benches for. C'mon. Give it a try.
If you can, you're either house-shopping or a real estate agent yourself. If you can't, you're just like a real human driving by political yard signs.
Real humans don't see political yard signs, and the words on them certainly don't penetrate the consciousness at 25 mph. Only political junkies notice them.